Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 108.587984 119.491089 130.566678 142.634751 155.389062 168.443911 182.792325
2026-01-18 92.771156 109.237587 126.651231 146.333004 167.856665 190.582184 216.293139
2026-01-25 74.849179 94.504095 116.147883 141.488704 170.091057 201.139609 237.157587
2026-02-01 61.811885 83.582518 108.504417 138.644839 173.631514 212.525625 258.598398
2026-02-08 52.355923 75.649097 103.308553 137.759095 178.745920 225.247061 281.300977
2026-02-15 45.767476 70.375203 100.594015 139.226009 186.171361 240.350699 306.605691
2026-02-22 41.742659 67.827106 100.807646 143.905092 197.195360 259.549110 336.673502
2026-03-01 37.279537 64.180954 99.229320 146.042194 204.917098 274.719936 361.992502
2026-03-08 32.335026 59.325316 95.642979 145.273170 208.782667 285.084170 381.504572
2026-03-15 29.097030 56.520009 94.480706 147.377976 216.055274 299.468574 405.792562
2026-03-22 27.075911 55.274602 95.266248 151.907281 226.322429 317.503732 434.537588
2026-03-29 24.722018 53.262434 94.795559 154.622689 234.182856 332.539401 459.662300
2026-04-05 22.792517 51.783006 95.036006 158.343683 243.487224 349.610420 487.641965
2026-04-12 20.792734 49.982632 94.680022 161.175077 251.622802 365.275343 514.023204
2026-04-19 16.853547 44.406182 88.369341 155.427963 248.210097 366.209700 522.067705
2026-04-26 13.989863 40.308029 83.964794 152.090102 247.789564 370.792490 534.554088
2026-05-03 11.946466 37.435024 81.238152 150.978473 250.240132 378.976361 551.523975
2026-05-10 10.621564 35.785896 80.336123 152.439084 256.150286 391.623221 574.161727
2026-05-17 10.027382 35.577290 81.757908 157.341903 266.835379 410.547609 604.869167
2026-05-24 9.044459 34.383734 81.441591 159.574832 273.783897 424.589494 629.399364
2026-05-31 7.703385 32.148973 79.191104 158.745692 276.358194 432.827963 646.490257
2026-06-07 6.930440 31.122547 78.957154 160.963754 283.212573 446.739212 670.916444
2026-06-14 6.556798 31.036387 80.370659 165.748045 293.745249 465.595012 701.807627